Dreger is an interesting one.
I think he climbed to where he is because of his direct access to Dave Nonis while both worked in Toronto.
He got good info.
But once Nonis was tossed he was left struggling to keep up with his better-connected competitors and started to flail a bit.
He has credibility, but to me, he is the one most likely to feed you his own take filtered through what he’s heard through the grapevine or other reporters, rather than from-the-source reporting.
When McKenzie tells you the asking price for O’Reilly, he has heard it firsthand from someone involved in the talks, and likely corroborated it with other sources.
If he says he believes it is likely O’Reilly will be traded, its coming from a base of knowledge built through regular conversations with agents and executives that provide a solid foundation for that opinion.
When Dreger regularly talks about the market for Kane over a two-month period, it’s mostly because he has a different radio show host in a different market asking him about Kane Every single week.
I don't even have a problem with McKenzie's belief that ROR is going to be traded. But if someone told him we're shopping ROR, he'd say it. I see where he gets the opinion from, and I don't agree with it, but he's just talking what would make sense from a team building perspective and what he thinks about things such as ROR's comments. If there were more to it than meets the eye, he would say so, because the precedent is that he does say so, including the example of this very topic, when he mentioned that somebody told him what the ask was when they called us.
The problem is that imminent feel we all have been given now by dozens of guys and hundreds of nameless tweeters and forum posters that the trade is going to happen any second, while Botterill has actually just been doing the same thing he's been doing since November, taking calls, and now is the time of year when things actually happen. Bobby and Friedmann are why it's so loud, because people are dumb on twitter
I just think there's nothing to suggest that the following isn't the case, including everything the most plugged in guys have ever said on the topic:
Botterill is inclined to keep ROR unless somebody blows him away, and he's going to take phone calls on literally asset we have, including Dahlin and Eichel. There are guys he's more willing to move than others, and ROR is on the "you had better blow me away" side of the likelihood spectrum.
That's what I stick to, and it is also, completely coincidentally, what I hope to be correct.