Your missing the point. The coach is much more likely to trust Beagle to take the critical faceoff. His numbers on the pk are a actually better then ROR's. The goal here is to move some PT off of ROR to someone we can trust. Beagle, who also put up 30 pts last year, is that guy. So what is that worth to me; to keep ROR fresh and healthy? $2 mill.
No, you don't get to move the goalposts. You were bastardizing a basic comparison to try to say anyone else will win a bazillion more faceoffs than Larsson. Now you're trying to say that Beagle's PK FO% was better than O'Reilly's, as if that's a function of some trait or skill, as opposed to random variance of a near-coin flip event over a cut-down sample.
As for the points, Beagle's career average is .24 points per game. Larsson's is .27. You really think ~1 faceoff win per game is worth $2 million?
And for the record, any reasonable coach is going to ease O'Reilly's minutes, whether his faceoff replacement is 56% or 49%.
Then you are going to over work ROR again and his production and play will deteriorate over the season as it did this year.
No, you're not. If my coach doesn't understand that cutting ROR's ice time by a minute+ per game is worth more than losing a faceoff per game, I don't want that person as my coach.