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3 weeks until the draft lottery


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#1 pi2000

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 02:15 PM

I like that they do the lottery immediately after the season ends.   Gives us something to get excited about I guess.

At the conclusion of the regular season, the 14 NHL teams not qualifying for the playoffs are entered in a weighted lottery to determine the initial draft picks in the first round, seeded according to regular season standing. The 30th-place team has the best chance of winning the lottery (25%) while the 29th-place team has a 18.8% chance of winning, with odds diminishing to a 0.5% chance for the 17th-place team. A single selection from the lottery pool is made, with the winning team improving its draft position to the number 1 spot, and no team dropping more than one place.

#2 Claude_Verret

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 02:24 PM

We will pick 2nd.

#3 qwksndmonster

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 02:27 PM

View PostClaude_Verret, on 25 March 2014 - 02:24 PM, said:

We will pick 2nd.
Likely.  But we also have the best chance at picking first, too. :thumbsup:

#4 Claude_Verret

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 02:29 PM

View Postqwksndmonster, on 25 March 2014 - 02:27 PM, said:

Likely.  But we also have the best chance at picking first, too. :thumbsup:

Very true, but I'm hoping we save our lottery mojo for next year.

#5 qwksndmonster

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 02:36 PM

View PostClaude_Verret, on 25 March 2014 - 02:29 PM, said:

Very true, but I'm hoping we save our lottery mojo for next year.
It's a conspiracy in favor of Buffalo.  We get Reinhart and McDavid for sure, but we had to give PLF back to the league.

#6 IKnowPhysics

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 02:37 PM

View PostClaude_Verret, on 25 March 2014 - 02:29 PM, said:

Very true, but I'm hoping we save our lottery mojo for next year.

We should blow our mojo all over this draft.

And then blow it all over the next one too.

We've earned it.  We've earned it hard.

View Postqwksndmonster, on 25 March 2014 - 02:36 PM, said:

It's a conspiracy in favor of Buffalo.  We get Reinhart and McDavid for sure, but we had to give PLF back to the league.

Supplemental conspiracy: we sent PLF to infiltrate the league and fix the draft in our favor.  Hardest tank imaginable.

#7 qwksndmonster

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 02:41 PM

View PostIKnowPhysics, on 25 March 2014 - 02:37 PM, said:

Supplemental conspiracy: we sent PLF to infiltrate the league and fix the draft in our favor.  Hardest tank imaginable.
To deal with Shanny we sent PLF with a tiny 2" replica Sabre with a tank insignia on the tiny hilt.  It's poisoned.

#8 Derrico

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 02:51 PM

I have a feeling we win the lottery.  The league hates the Sabres so there's no chance we win it next year.  So to make it look not too obvious we win it this year in a much lesser draft.  Then if anyone says anything the league can say look, the Sabres picked 1st in 2014.

#9 ubkev

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 02:55 PM

View PostDerrico, on 25 March 2014 - 02:51 PM, said:

I have a feeling we win the lottery.  The league hates the Sabres so there's no chance we win it next year.  So to make it look not too obvious we win it this year in a much lesser draft.  Then if anyone says anything the league can say look, the Sabres picked 1st in 2014.

This is where I'm  at. This is also why I  hope Pegula bribes the hell out of the league next year.

Edited by ubkev, 25 March 2014 - 02:56 PM.


#10 Numark

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 03:06 PM

View PostDerrico, on 25 March 2014 - 02:51 PM, said:

I have a feeling we win the lottery.  The league hates the Sabres so there's no chance we win it next year.  So to make it look not too obvious we win it this year in a much lesser draft.  Then if anyone says anything the league can say look, the Sabres picked 1st in 2014.

I'll take Reinhart and eichel!  Sign me up

#11 pi2000

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 03:11 PM

I'm OK with Bennett or Reinhart.    This is a wash.   Next year however...   McDavid or bust.

#12 qwksndmonster

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 03:15 PM

View Postpi2000, on 25 March 2014 - 03:11 PM, said:

I'm OK with Bennett or Reinhart. This is a wash.   Next year however...   McDavid or bust one of many other elite prospects.
FTFY

#13 IKnowPhysics

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 03:22 PM

View Postqwksndmonster, on 25 March 2014 - 03:15 PM, said:

View Postpi2000, on 25 March 2014 - 03:11 PM, said:

I'm OK with Bennett or Reinhart. This is a wash.   Next year however...   McDavid orAND bust one of many other elite prospects.
FTFY
FTFY

Edited by IKnowPhysics, 25 March 2014 - 03:22 PM.


#14 Tankalicious

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 03:27 PM

There is no conspiracy. If we win it this year it doesn't mean anything about next year's lottery...

#15 Numark

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 03:27 PM

View Postpi2000, on 25 March 2014 - 03:11 PM, said:

I'm OK with Bennett or Reinhart.    This is a wash.   Next year however...   McDavid or bust.

I'm not so sure mcdavid is better than eichel

#16 qwksndmonster

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 03:28 PM

View PostTankalicious, on 25 March 2014 - 03:27 PM, said:

There is no conspiracy. If we win it this year it doesn't mean anything about next year's lottery...
You are the worst kind of guy.

#17 MattPie

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 03:31 PM

View PostIKnowPhysics, on 25 March 2014 - 02:37 PM, said:

We should blow our mojo all over this draft.

And then blow it all over the next one too.

We've earned it.  We've earned it hard.

For as bad as this season has been, it's worth pointing out that in my cursory glance at the last full seasons, the last place team finished with 57, 56, 71, 61, 62, 62, and 65 points (last year projects to 61.5). With 11 games remaining and at 48 points, the Sabres stand a chance at not being the worst team in the last decade, never mind "WURST TEAM EVAR!". Essentially, every year there's a team that is this bad. This is just our turn to root for that team.

#18 WildCard

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 03:47 PM

Fun facts about the draft lottery

A) The worst team has won the draft lottery 7/19 times, or 37%, since it's inception in 1995.

B) The best team (standings wise for that season) to ever win the lottery was the San Jose Sharks in 1998. The Shakrs, at  78 points and sitting 16th in the league, won the lottery from the last placed Lightening who had 44 points. Yet, " San Jose was selected in the 1998 drawing, but Tampa Bay held the right to swap first round picks with the Sharks and exercised that right to go to first"

C) The first 5 years of the draft held some high variance. Since the 1998 draft, the Top pick has always landed in the bottom 5 teams with one exception, the 2011 Draft where the Oiler's finished last but lost out to the 23rd place Devils. The Devils had some special circumstance and were not allowed to take the pick though

D) Since the 1998 draft, the 3rd worse team is 29% likely to win the draft lottery


>Sorry about that, the nhl.com standings got me mixed up, all fixed though
Here's the list of winners and the worst teams in a given season http://www.tsn.ca/dr...ature/?id=18342

Edited by WildCard, 25 March 2014 - 03:54 PM.


#19 pi2000

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Posted 25 March 2014 - 03:59 PM

well, it used to be you could move up no more than 5 spots.    this year, any of the non-playoff teams can win the #1 pick.