Quality Start = Any game where a goalie stops more than the league average percentage of shots (currently .914) or gives up less than three goals while stopping 88.5% or more of the shots he faces. Quality starts have resulted in a winning percentage of roughly .775.
Bail-Out = The percentage of games where a goalie didn't record a quality start but the team still won the game. That is, the goalie gets the win while stopping less than 88.5% of the shots, or while giving up three or more goals and stopping between 88.5 and 91.3% of shots.
Really Bad Start = Anytime a goalie fails to stop more than 85% of the shots he faces. This equates to roughly a 10% chance of the team winning the game.
I chose to ignore April as it is very close to the playoffs so the way the team plays and the way the goalies are rotated changes alot
- The best goalies will record ~60% quality start percentage while 55% will identify you as above average.
- The best goalies will record ~10-12% RBS rate
- High BO rate indicates being carried by the team, low BO rate indicates that the team rarely helps you out if you're not at your best.
- High BO% + Low QS% = being carried by team
- Low BO% + High QS% = unlucky to a certain extent
- Smith and Enroth are very streaky - they have a high number of QS, but also have double the average bad game rate
- Enroth is unlucky - the team never bails him out - a lot of his QS are wasted
- Miller was elite two years ago
- Miller was average last year, but that coms from a bad December/January (when he admits he came back too early)
- This year he has been average - but that comes from march alone - which a) isn't over and b) maybe he has given up on the team
- Lundqvist was crazy good last year
- The Sabres and Rags live and die by their goalie
For anyone wondering, Miller's QS was .723 during his Vezina campaign
Edited by ThirtyEight, 21 March 2013 - 10:14 AM.